A CME followed a filament eruption which was observed in the southeast quadrant around 06/0230UTC. This has been modelled with a miss behind and below Earth orbit most likely, with just a low probability of a weak glance early on 10 Mar. Earth is currently connecting to the trans-equatorial CH29/- with winds speeds anticipated to reach 500-600 km/s, therefore slightly faster than those indicated by Enlil. Speeds are then expected to gradually decline from 08 Mar probably returning to background levels by 10 Mar.
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