UNIGRAZ CME DBM/DBEM 2025-03-21T18:31:00Z Earth
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Heliospheric Weather Expert Service Centre UNIGRAZ CME DBM/DBEM 2025-03-21T18:31:00Z Earth |
The initial analysis of the CME with the following characterisation at 21.5 solar radii is a possible arrival at Earth on or around 2025-03-23T13:13:00Z.
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UTC (@ 21.5 Rs): 2025-03-21T18:31:00Z |
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The results of the Drage Based Ensemble for this event are as follows
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#### DBEM results summary for CME launched on 21-03-2025 18:31 and target Earth Probability of CME arrival at target (%) 100.00 CME arrival time (median) 23-03-2025 13:42 CME arrival time (lower 95(%) conf. int.) 23-03-2025 05:56 CME arrival time (upper 95(%) conf. int.) 23-03-2025 22:15 CME speed at target (median) 710 CME speed at target (lower 95(%) conf. int.) 600 CME speed at target (upper 95(%) conf. int.) 900 Target distance (AU) 0.997 Number of DBM runs 10000 |
Generated using the H-ESC DBM/DBEM provided by UNIGRAZ and Hvar Observatory.
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